The Western Australian Premier's 29 July press release announcing
the go ahead for a reverse osmosis (RO) seawater desalination plant for Perth
is below the list of cities.
This page sets out Perth Water Users
comments on the Premiers 29 July 2004 go ahead for RO desalination plant
[1] The Premier says; "The threat of a drying climate is with
us now...".
We say that of course there is broad agreement that rainfall in SW Western
Australia declined from the mid-1970's. Water resource planners
have had decades to come to terms with this new less variable rain regime.
Data shows that since 1975 rainfall in Perth and catchment areas has reduced
about 10% and has become less variable without the extremes of wet and dry
years seen pre-1975.
Another perfectly valid view of the Perth rainfall history would be to
say that the period 1915 to 1950 was an exceptional wet period characterized
by the highest rainfall years with few years below 800 mm. Perhaps
the years pre 1915 and post 1975 are more normal. See http://www.warwickhughes.com/water/
for graphic of Perth rainfall history 1876 to 2003. Since when
do we run State policy on the basis of data from more than 50 years ago ???
[2] The Premier says; "This will be the eighth year in succession
that our rainfall has been significantly below average."
On the basis that only the years from 1975 should be considered because
that is the rainfall regime we are experiencing, the average
post 1975 for Perth is 791 mm and four of the last eight years have exceeded
this.
1975-2003
seasonal rainfall for Perth
1975-2003
seasonal rainfall for Dwellingup
We say to the Premier and the WaterCorp, stop quoting irrelevant
pre-1975 rain data to justify current policy and the WaterCorp should stop
wasting money on monthly media adverts showing Perth rainfall, when it is
Darling Ranges rainfall that flows into dams.
[3] The Premier also says; "Dr Gallop said the decision to go ahead
was the culmination of years of research by the Water Corporation."
We remind the Premier that, reports by WaterCorp presented at the 2002
Water Symposium only mentioned desalination as a distant option for the future.
In most development scenarios out to 2030 desalination is not included.
So we suggest that there has been a panic and a rush to bring forward the
expensive desalination option and that WaterCorp have had all of their large
range of other planning options vetoed by the Government dominated by Green
dogmas and over rosy views on the reliability of CSIRO climate model
predictions..
[4] The Premier goes on; "Our run of dry winters has driven our
quest to investigate alternative water sources," he said.
We say rainfall data for Perth and Dwellingup, see graphics above,
shows there has been no "...run of dry winters...", or for that matter
dry run of any relevant season. We ask, what is the Premier talking
about ?
[5] We wonder if the Premier realizes that despite a very
poor start to the year rainfall for the months May to July 2004 (which does
impact dam inflows) for the stations Mundaring, Karnet and Dwellingup
that are near catchments has been average for the post 1975 period.
[6] We do not understand why the Premier and WaterCorp refuse
to thin Perth catchments bush There would be no "water crisis"
if catchment vegetation had been managed over the decades to maintain flows
with the interests of Perth water consumers in mind. WaterCorp figures
show 40 GL could be gained, which is on par with RO plant 45 GL. The
continuing clogging of catchments with scrub will steadily
reduce inflow rates in future years, cancelling out any advantage
gained from the RO plant.
[7] Perth water catchments are only about 10 to 15% of SW forested
areas and any thought that thinning some scrub can adversely affect
regional wildlife and flora values has to be plainly ludicrous. But
then, that's the Greens for you.
[8] We are puzzled that the WRC in 2000 found there were 1181
GL of potential sustainable yield groundwater available in the SW in
the 3 main layers.
How come we can not find 45 GL PA ?
Two main reasons come to mind, assuming the recent evaluations were competently
done. At every stage in considering any option, climate change "projections"
are used to cut back future resources.
At the same time as "arm-waving" Green mantras lacking in scientific rigour
are easy to throw up as objections to this or that option.
Whatever the exact reasons, the net result is that from this huge resource
we can not utilise a 25th of what is stated by experts to be
there.
[9] There are engineering proposals by Agritech to use RO desalination
to treat Wellington dam brackish water, currently wasted to sea, on a
scale of the 45 GL proposed for the Rockingham RO plant and we wonder if
this far cheaper option has been fairly considered.
[10] We should be engaging the best international operators to
trial cloud seeding utilising all the most up to date technology and
research results. This is so cheap, low impact and only needs to have a low
success rate to impact dam inflows with water worth many times the circa
$1Million annual cost.
[11] That the RO plant will add 6% to electricity loads has
to be of concern considering our rickety power generation infrastucture.
[12] RO technology is not without risk and costs might exceed
initial estimates, as we have seen in recent times Government estimates for
simple things like railway tunnels under Perth proved hopelessly wrong.
[13] We think it possible that Gallop Government will become famous
internationally for turning to the expensive seawater desalination
option without sound reason. Many cities around the world get by with
rainfall near or lower than Perth
Some examples quickly pulled off the WWW with annual mean rainfall in mm.
Athens, Greece, 371
Los Angeles 302
Capetown 612.5
London Gatwick 611.3
Kew Gardens 615
Edinburgh 661
Birmingham 673
Rome Italy 792.9
Berlin 588.7
Ankara 374
Toronto 765
Moscow Russia 601
Beijing 635
Baghdad 154.8
Tehran, Iran, 240
San Fransisco 500
Cairo Egypt 28
Lima, Peru 20
Denver 391
Christchurch, NZ 647
Melbourne 656
Valparaiso, Chile 395,
Mexico City 634
Of course cities have always got their public water supplies
from the most economical source, which may be dams, rivers or underground.
We ask, how many cities with 790 mm average rainfall and convenient
dam sites nearby are turning to the desalination option ?
Desalination plant to become a vital source for State's water supply
29/7/04
Premier Geoff Gallop has announced that the State's next major water source
will be a desalination plant to be built at Kwinana.
Dr Gallop said work on the $350million project would begin immediately
to help secure future water supplies for Western Australia's Integrated Water
Supply Scheme.
The plant would be built and owned by the Water Corporation and would provide
an additional 45 gigalitres of water into the Integrated Scheme - or an additional
17 per cent annually.
When complete in 2006, it would be the biggest desalination plant in the
southern hemisphere and would complement dams and groundwater schemes as a
third water source for Perth, parts of the South-West and towns serviced through
the Goldfields Pipeline to Kalgoorlie Boulder.
The Premier said the State Government would be playing Russian roulette
with our future if the project did not proceed.
"The threat of a drying climate is with us now and desalination is a proven
technology capable of delivering large quantities of water independent of
the weather," he said.
"This will be the eighth year in succession that our rainfall has been
significantly below average.
"Both our underground and surface water supplies are not being recharged
to the appropriate levels.
"Desalination gives us a weather independent source and will bring balance
to our portfolios of water sources. It will also reduce the risk of introducing
job destroying sprinkler bans that would undermine the amenity of our beautiful
city."
The project will create up to 200 jobs during construction and is expected
to be delivering water within two years. WA will be the first State in Australia
to use desalination as a major source for a public water supply scheme.
The impact of the project on water pricing will not be decided until the
2006-07 Budget and will take into consideration final project costs and the
Economic Regulation Authority's report on water pricing.
It is estimated that the impact on the average household bill will be less
than a dollar a week.
Dr Gallop said the decision to go ahead was the culmination of years of
research by the Water Corporation.
"Our run of dry winters has driven our quest to investigate alternative
water sources," he said.
"An alternative proposal to pipe 45 gigalitres of water a year from the
South-West Yarragadee aquifer is currently not a viable option, because ongoing
investigations into the environmental impact would not be completed for some
time."
The desalination plant will use a reverse osmosis technique employed successfully
in the Middle East, Spain, Malta, Cyprus and the USA. It is widely regarded
as the most economically and environmentally friendly desalination technique.
Reverse osmosis is a process in which the seawater diffuses through a series
of membranes at extremely high pressure, which remove salts and impurities
from the water. It is used on most ocean-going vessels (including cruise ships
and navy vessels) and by industries that require very pure water. The Swan
Brewery, for instance, uses the reverse osmosis technique in its Canning Vale
plant.
Dr Gallop said the water from the desalination plant would be of an equal,
or superior, quality to the current water sources which supplied the Integrated
Water Supply Scheme.
This decision comes on top of a range of initiatives that have been taken
by the Government since coming into office, including:
the highly successful rebate program for households;
construction of a wastewater reclamation plant in Kwinana;
the creation of additional capacity from our traditional underground and
surface sources; and
water trading within farms in the South-West.
Sprinkler restrictions have been introduced but total sprinkler bans have
been avoided.
Government Enterprises Minister Nick Griffiths said he was pleased the
desalination plan was set to become a reality.
"I have been a great supporter of desalination and given the reduced rainfall
the South-West of the State is experiencing, it is a responsible course of
action," Mr Griffiths said.
The chief executive officer of the Water Corporation, Dr Jim Gill, said
the greenhouse emissions associated with the desalination plant would be completely
offset by the Water Corporation.
"The Water Corporation is already recognised as a national leader in greenhouse
gas abatement through its energy efficiency, renewable energy and carbon sequestration
initiatives," Dr Gill said.
"We will now take on a new challenge - to entirely offset the greenhouse
gas emissions associated with the energy used by the desalination plant.
"At this stage we are looking at planting trees in the salinity-prone catchments
to offset the greenhouse gas emissions, reduce salinity and improve water
quality."
Premier's office: 9222 9475