Non - Climatic Data in the GHCN / USHCN Rural Data 1870-1930
The USA component of the GHCN data is also known as the USHCN
( United States Historical Climate Network). Both data sets
are generated by research teams in NOAA / NCDC, so in
effect GHCN for the USA equals USHCN.
While reviewing city records and city minus rural difference
graphs from the USA, many examples of non-climatic
anomalies in late 19 century early 20 century rural GHCN records
have become obvious. Most of these look to be cold
anomalies that would insert artificial warming into century
long trends. These USA aberrant temperature data are
illustrated here to give a reality check to those who seem
convinced that the USA rural temperature data is somehow the best
in the world. Like in most countries, rural
temperature record data in the USA can contain many non-climatic
inhomogeneities that will insert non-climatic warming into large
area averaged trends.
These data also call into question the GHCN conclusion in a
recent published paper that when you take cities out of global
data the warming trend does not change. The
reason for this finding could be the existence of pervasive
warming errors in global rural data such as illustrated here and
the common "uncorrected cooling steps" in city UHI
affected data due to moves from urban centres to urban fringe,
also illustrated here.
The only way to approach the truth in these issues is to carry
out grid cell by grid cell studies so both the trees and the wood
can be seen and understood.
Many of these 100 year old cold anomalies in rural USA data would be due to instrument shelter changes, bearing in mind that instrument shelters would likely have been updated earlier at the more professionally maintained city stations.
Note that these instances below of errors in rural data have emerged from looking at city / rural comparisons, no attempt has been made to scour the USHCN / GHCN for these errors. If support was available, that could be done.
Please use your back button to return from looking at the graphics.
Peoria, Illinois
In this example a huge 2 to 3 degrees C cold anomaly is present
in Washington and Galva pre-1890 data compared to Peoria.
There is also an uncorrected cooling move in Peoria circa
1960.
Memphis
In this example all four rural stations around Memphis show
non-climatic data to varying extents pre-1930.
Jacksonville Fla
Two of the Jacksonville peripheral rurals, Federal point and
Fernandino Beach show pre-1915 and pre-1930 non-climatic cold
anomalies in their differences to Jacksonville. The other
two station differences, Jacksonville-Madison and
Jacksonville-Lake City refect the growing Jacksonville UHI
warming faster than the two rurals.
Columbus, Ohio
In this case non-climatic cold data is apparent in Philo and
Kenton pre 1900. Also obvious are uncorrected cooling moves
in Columbus around mid 1970's and mid 1980's. The usual
shambles.
Cincinnati
This example shows a huge cold anomaly in Vevay pre-mid
1880's. Note uncorrected warming change followed by cooling
change in Cincinnate circa 1945 to 1950 and signs of cooling
moves post 1960 and early 1980's.
Chicago
Two rural stations near Chicago, Galva and Marengo show pre 1890
non-climatic cold data which as in all these cases will add to
warming in large area average trends from rural data.
Also note gross uncorrected cooling move in Chicago circa
1980.
Atlanta
The more rural Covington near Atlanta shows erratic data mainly
cold pre 1903 and Dahlonega also reveals a cold anomaly
circa 1900. Uncorrected moves are apparent in Atlanta circa early
1980's.
Toledo, Ohio
Toledo neighbours Hillsdale, Lansing and Wauseon all show pre
1890 cold anomalies while Napoleons shows a circa 1890
anomalously warm cluster.
To wrap up a real GHCN shocker is highlighted below.
Kzyl Zar, old USSR
These are not differences but are various versions for Kzyl
Zar and show that the GHCN team selected the most highly
warming and ridiculous version of Kzyl Zar as their preferred
option to include in their "corrected" database.
Probably all the versions have non-climatic errors.
How could the GHCN quality controls pass a warming trend of
near 4 degrees C in little more than a decade.
Will this be the worst pro-warming nonsense the GHCN have used ?
You read and saw it all first here.
Posted 17, January, 2001
© Warwick Hughes, 2000
globalwarming-news.com
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