I blogged a month ago “Voice campaign polls tightening says ABC”
www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=7153
and has that ever been borne out yeeha.
Since then National polls have showed gains by those intending to vote NO and recently even NSW polls have indicated a majority for NO.
All this has raised the possibility that the referendums could fail which might contribute to Albo being a one term PM.
New WA Gov. laws around intrusion of Indigenous rights onto your “freehold land” have increasingly raised landholder concerns in that State in recent months since the retirement of the popular Premier McGowan. And of course all Australians should assume that their State or Territory Govs. have similar impositions on freehold property being planned deep in their GreenLeft bureaucracies.
In the last few days polls in WA have indicated an earthquake in voting intentions to the extent that the election of a new LNP State Gov is indicated if an election were held.
Poll shows Libby Mettam’s Liberals hold 54-46 two-party preferred lead over Labor with Roger Cook as Premier 23Jul23
thewest.com.au/news/wa/poll-shows-libby-mettams-liberals-hold-54-46-two-party-preferred-lead-over-labor-with-roger-cook-as-premier-c-11360597
Quote [The WA Liberals would win an election held today, according to remarkable new polling that reveals dramatic upheaval in the State’s political landscape.
Mark McGowan’s shock departure, coupled with deeply unpopular Aboriginal heritage laws — which the government has battled to explain — appear to have critically damaged Labor’s prospects in the two short months since Roger Cook took over as Premier.]
It is a long while yet to the referendum vote and if polling continues to indicate a loss for the Yes Vote then I suppose Albo could call off the referendum and just legislate for a Voice; which I recall he has previously threatened to do. I also expect the AEC to act very biassed in favour of a Yes Vote plus the upcoming Govt legislation on disinformation and misinformation has great potential to be used to attack the No Voters side.
Looking further ahead to the 2025 Federal Election the next two summers are a danger time in terms of power price spikes caused by weather and outages that could pressure Govt. energy policy. All factors that could work against Labor in 2025.