Carrying on from the previous post re UHI in China, it is fascinating that the Jones HadCRUT2 data has an amazing close agreement with MSU lower troposphere, 1979-2005 over most of the the USA 48 States from 30 to 50 North incl a small strip of far south Canada.

– Measuring the following four bands of grid cells, starting in the south at 30 to 35 North (LA), extending 9 cells east to Charleston 75W.
– Next on 35 to 40 North from 125 West to 70 West, 11 grid cells.
– Then 40 to 45 North, same longitude limits, 11 grid cells.
– Finally 45 to 50 North, 125 West to 50 West, 15 grid cells.

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Considering the large blocks of grid cells in other global regions where HadCRUT2 warms strongly compared to MSU 1979-2005: www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=45 it is worth pondering why there is this close agreement between HadCRUT2 and MSU over the USA ?

Could it be pure chance ? Could it be due to superior USA surface data quality ? Is European surface data so bad ?

You see the issues. Why this great variation in HadCRUT2 minus MSU for different global regions ?

Last Update: Monday, August 7, 2006. 4:34pm (AEST) ABC online
High summer temperatures predicted

A leading climatologist says there is no evidence Australia will suffer from heat waves like those currently in Europe.

Dr Janette Lindsay, from the Australian National University, says there is no link between seasons in Australia and the Northern Hemisphere.

But she says Australia may be in for a warmer-than-average summer.

“The situation in Australia is very much a function of first of all what happens around the Pacific Ocean in regards to El Nino specifically,” Dr Lindsay said.

“All of the forecasts for El Nino for the coming spring and summer are that we’re looking at probably neutral, average conditions across the Pacific, maybe tending to be slightly warmer than usual.”

Dr Lindsay says Queensland and New South Wales can expect a dry spring as a result of recent temperature rises in the Indian Ocean.

“It’s likely to be drier than normal in Queensland and northern New South Wales over spring, and that also the rather mild temperatures are likely to continue and it may be warmer also in eastern Australia in spring,” she said.

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Fascinating that the Southern Hemisphere continues this habit of not warming as much as the north.

Does anybody know of comment out there casting light on the reason for this growing divergence in recent months ?