We have heard the amazing news broken by Anthony Watts of the Hadley Centre hack and download of the 61MB file named FOI2009.zip
Now gone from the original RU site but still available here.
In my opinion it is from Climate Research Unit (CRU) at U of East Anglia, Norwich – UK and is not from the UKMO’s Hadley Centre. It could have been released by a process as simple as a CRU staffer mistakenly leaving the file in a public part of the CRU FTP site.
Marc Morano has set up a very useful searchable list of the emails. I even found emails in there from me. Just over 1,000 email files all told, each one refs to more than one email – so probably several thousand all up. Amazing stuff.
Life changing for CRU.
Global carbon emissions 1960-2008 and economic events
Fluctuations in global economic activity are clearly imprinted on the carbon emissions timeseries.
It is interesting to see the delay between major events and the consequent troughs in the annual rate of change. The second oil shock and the 1987 stock market crash both took five years to produce the maximum dip in the rate of slowing in annual emissions. It seems likely that the 2007-2008 market crashes and GFC will cause another minimum in the % rate of annual change – a few years in the future – and it could well be off the bottom of this chart.
This article in the UK Telegraph says; “Carbon dioxide emissions ‘cut by recession'”
Global greenhouse gas emissions will be 9 per cent below what they were expected to be in 2012 as a result of the recession, researchers said today.
Data from CDIAC, and for recent years, this Netherlands site
BoM forgets Darwin history
I have just seen this BoM media release trumpeting “Warmest month on record in Darwin”. Darwin has just experienced its warmest month on record, according to the Bureau of Meteorology. Darwin Airport mean monthly max for October 09 was 34.8.
Perhaps the BoM is too obsessed with making weather news fit in with media puff re the IPCC global warming hysteria. Too busy to have time to check their own historic data. – Darwin Post Office 14016 had a rash of hotter daytime Octobers in the 19th Century.
1882 35.3
1883 34.9
1886 35.2
1888 35.3
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1891 35.2
1892 35.5
1893 35.3
1901 34.9
Many BoM utterances need “checking with a fine tooth comb.”
“…I finished .. about 8 o’clock that night and there had been no reports at that stage of casualties…”
To give us some comprehension of the magnitude of the breakdown in functions of the Victorian fire bureaucracies on 7 Feb 2009, it is helpful to ponder this statement by Dr Tollhurst
telling how he left Melbourne fire HQ around 8pm on the 7th Feb 2009 having heard no reports of casualties. An hour or two after ~150 people were dying.
Here is the exact quote from the ABC TV Four Corners doc on 16th Feb. I have the whole transcript pasted below. (Scroll down two thirds of article)
[Well I guess the surprising thing was that at the end of the day, I finished my time there about 8 o’clock that night and there had been no reports at that stage of casualties, so I was quite surprised when I got back to my accommodation and turned the news on at about 11 o’clock to hear of the tragedies.]
ABC journalist Jane Cowan is doing a stirling job continuing to report the fallout from the fires and the Royal Commission. To read her series of articles – Got to be a book in this Jane.
This recent article about the effect of the wind change late on 7 Feb reveals fire execs mindsets and amazing uniformity of views. Justifying their failure to update their warnings late in the afternoon when BoM data showed the change coming early.
Continue reading “…I finished .. about 8 o’clock that night and there had been no reports at that stage of casualties…”
The BoM is a national disgrace
In Canberra we are on pretty strict water restrictions, water bills are sky-high yet the BoM can not with reasonable accuracy record rainfall data at a station in our catchments.
Below are extracts from many emails over months sent from a concerned citizen to the BoM (with BoM replies) re faulty recording of rain data at Mount Ginini, on the border of the ACT ~40km SW of Canberra as the Crow flies. I could drive there easily within a coupla hours in an old car with ground clearance.
I mention this because on 27 Oct the BoM pleads “remoteness of the site” as an issue. Truly pathetic.
Just remember this series of emails address data problems at ONE site and a site fairly close to a city, in a city water catchment. It makes me wonder about data quality from the thousands of more remote sites.
If you go to this BoM page, then run your mouse down the middle part of the western ACT border, the station name should pop up. You can see daily rain data for stations all over Australia on maps in this series.
First emails at the bottom of the page – so best start down there. I have tried to take out names.
Continue reading The BoM is a national disgrace
How quickly BoM weather model predictions implode
On 23 October the BoM published this map of rain predictions for the 3 months November 2009 – January 2010.
Just 2 short weeks later, on the nights of 5th and 6th November, the NSW north coast was deluged, Coffs Harbour reporting up to 500mm over the two days and flood reports are all over our media.
How many $Million does the BoM cost us ? What can their models be worth to the nation if results collapse in a heap in 2 short weeks.
And this organisation will be advising our Prime Minister of climate changes to take place for the next CENTURY !!
And Kev747 can not understand why the public is getting more sceptical of his Govts. ETS scheme which relies for its justification on IPCC rubbish.
Kev747 attacks climate sceptics
Puzzling that the Australian Prime Minister Mr Kevin Rudd, would waste his precious time slagging off at; poor – old – underfunded – powerless – climate sceptics.
The tenacious Marc Morano has a good commentary, Go Marc.
New paper on historical carbon dioxide levels in atmosphere accepted for conference
Accurate estimation of CO2 background level from near ground measurements at non-mixed environments
Authors: Dr. Francis Massen , Dipl. Biol. Ernst-Georg Beck
Continue reading New paper on historical carbon dioxide levels in atmosphere accepted for conference
What has killed the cotton giant – Cubbie Station ?
“Drought beats cotton giant Cubbie”
So says the ABC – full article below too.
But when I check Drought maps at the Bureau of Meteorology, there has been no drought over the Cubbie region for periods of 6, 9, 12, 18, 24 and 36 months.
So what has killed Cubbie ?
Note my page on Cubbie.
Continue reading What has killed the cotton giant – Cubbie Station ?
How reliable are Australian Govt claims about rising sea levels ?
We have all seen the news lately about the threat to coastal properties by “climate change” induced sea level rise.
Here is a graphic of monthly sea level anomalies 1990-through June 2009 – from the latest report from the Australian Baseline Sea Level Monitoring Project
On page 34 of 41 in the latest report the BoM claims increases in sea levels from 1.5 to 8.6 mm/year out of these data, allowing for air pressure and instrument datum height corrections.
Can anybody really say they are alarmed at the trends seen in these data ?
What is the Govt smoking.
Dr Vincent Gray has an interesting report “South Pacific Sea Level: a Reassessment” – on South Pacific sea levels collected by the BoM. He is also amazed at the rising sea level trends claimed.
Continue reading How reliable are Australian Govt claims about rising sea levels ?