Checking out the Worldometer Covid-19 graphics for Australia my eye was caught by the huge “daily new cases” total of 537 for the 22March. See screen save – large version.
Going to the various States and Territories you can find their announcements of new cases for 22March and I got data as follows. NSW 97, Vic 67, Qld 38, WA 30, SA 33, Tas 5, ACT 10, NT 2, Aussie total 282.
The ABC graphic has 280 for 22March so maybe they missed the NT.
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Added Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus global map page – click on country of choice on left hand list. Screen save of their error showing 460 Australian deaths.
It must be clear now that when the 1st of February travel bans from China were put in place we should have mobilised Defence pers. to assist State police to check on incoming travellers supposed to be on 14 day self quarantining. Nearly two months wasted and it seems amazing that recent photos at airports show crowding. After the abundant publicity about the Diamond Princess cruise ship disease disaster in Japan our Govts were slack as all hell to let cruise ships cause any issues over our border as they have.
Cruise ships could have been made to anchor or moor way out. Then boarded and checks made. People could have been then landed into some form or quarantine or not. We are lucky deaths have been so few.
The Worldometer has a cutoff for a particular GMT Time. Perhaps some states reported just before and some just after. The figure for 21 March is very low and maybe some figures for the 21st leaked across to the 22nd.
Johns Hopkins has Australia at 460 deaths.
Seems a wild error when sources here are reporting ~14 deaths.
Maybe JHU has confused daily new cases.
Yes, Charles probably has the explanation that the Worldometer is using a GMT cutoff. This isn’t very wise as they risk getting different types of figures on different days, and in fact the references they give for Australian data are often press stories or state government websites. They would be better off just using each day’s figures published by the Federal Health Department here: www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers
Slight problem is that they only seem to provide graphs, can’t see the actual numbers anywhere, but from eyeballing, they have ±396 new cases on 22 March. The plot thickens…
Our death rate is very low – experts and health system must be doing a lot that is right.
This is the best timeline I have found so far.
Yes, one thing we did right was cut off arrivals from China on 1 Feb. Check the graph here of the travel history of cases in Australia:
www.covid19data.com.au/travel-histories
Also, while our death rate looks extremely low, I wonder if the death rate in Italy, Spain etc. is so high in part because they have hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of undetected cases. Those countries are way behind us on testing, even now, so our death rate may be lower partly because our denominator of identified cases is much higher.
Other possible factors helping us are a younger population and the fact that it is not flu season. As far as deaths are concerned, probably the main thing to do is to try really hard to keep it out of hospitals and old peoples’ homes, as well as away from older people generally. Even now in Italy, with more than ten thousand deaths, there have been none of people under 30 and only 120 or so of people under 60 (see corresponding wikipedia article on them), and Italy’s own page says that 98% of its fatal cases had pre-existing pathologies.
There is a question that is both extremely *obvious* and completely evaded with obvious deliberation.
Yes, South Korea took very effective actions that were both pro-active and well-practised/learnt from the earlier SARS epidemic. In particular South Korea has undertaken very far-reaching, extensive testing, enabling effective tracing.
Question: given that a reliable test for C19 could not be formulated till its’ RNA was mapped and understood, that is the virus had to be accurately diagnosed first, how did South Korea manage to aquire so many test kits so early ?
That question is not some “conspiracy notion” (to try and avoid the inevitable straw men), but quite targeted. Essentially, it points to incredible levels of incompetence and blind-headedness in Australian authorities, even with South Korea as a neon-lighted world-leading, early example.
Did any of you see this video www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=DkOKe7tkyF4&feature=emb_logo
from the Bolt blog. One has to ask why we do not measure forehead temperature of everyone going into a shop, centrelink, hospitals, ambulances, medical practices etc. I have look on the net, it seems that one can get on Ebay non-contact infra red thermometers for just under $10. It is likely that these are made in Taiwan and probably made for around $1 so the government there could have distributed these free to all businesses and government service outlets including airports.
It is a very simple answer and I believe similar has occurred in South Korea. Measure temperature, isolate those who have a high temperature (above 37.2C) for any reason and then treatment immediately.
Our Medical Practitioners are often behind the times. Last time I went for a checkup the Doctor had one to insert in the ear but the nurse who did the ECG had only an old blood pressure device.
Also, it appears that the malaria drug chloroquine is affective and safe. Why was this not proscribed to those coming into Australia on planes and cruise ships especially those with a high forehead temperature.
Hey cement – I suggested temperature checks at the border on my blog back on Australia Day.
Australia Day & coronavirus thoughts
You let me know if you find forehead thermometers for sale @ anywhere near $10.
Can find the one for just under $10 but here is an even lower cost one on E-Bay www.ebay.com.au/p/2254467636?iid=283827665889&var=585257791872
I may have looked at it early in the bids rather then a sale
This one is at $22.50
At Chemists one can get various in the range ($50 to $75) and same at E-Bay and Ammazon
Offtack, but quite worrying:
reneweconomy.com.au/nem-watch/
NSW is in (large) debit almost continuously. Power losses are *not* needed in addition to the current pressure on the population.