The BoM maps tell the story
Max t Outlook entire continent predicted hotter than average (large version)
Real world vast areas cooler than average (large version)
Min t Outlook almost entire continent predicted hotter than average (large version)
Real world way more than half of Oz cooler than average (large version)
ABC coverage glorifying Outlooks as gospel truth
Another ABC article that also goes to our water resources and never mentions “environmental flows” that kneecap our dams
BoM Outlooks – BoM T anomaly maps
We had a talking head from the BOM on 3AW Melbourne this morning explaining that although there were some cold mornings (hallelujah, we here near Castlemaine had one of -6.5 Deg C, coldest for six or more years) temperatures in Melbourne for August were slightly above average. Well maybe so, but perhaps the BOM talking head should have mentioned that the “slightly” he referred to was about as big as the proverbial bee’s diaphragm.
It seems the big predictions are failing as well. Green house gas global warming theory said that the minimum temperatures should rise faster than the maximums. So the winter minimums should by now be way up. The last six months of map don’t show that.
www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/minanom/6month/colour/history/nat/2018030120180831.hres.gif
The same period last year does not show it either.
www.bom.gov.au/web03/ncc/www/awap/temperature/minanom/6month/colour/history/nat/2017030120170831.hres.gif
One of the best possible spots to watch for climate change is Browse Island. It appears little has changed for decades, all year round varies by less than 3C average, and little difference seasonally.
The ideal spot free of UHI
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weatherData/av?p_nccObsCode=36&p_display_type=dataFile&p_startYear=&p_c=&p_stn_num=200784
Tom here is the long-term for Echuca, Victoria on:
“Figure 3: Long-term climate records at Echuca: total annual rainfall (bars), annual average maximum temperature (black line) and annual average minimum temperature (grey line) (data source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology).”
110 years of climate records showing no real trend at all, although you could say the annual Tmin is cooling. For Tmax it appears the years around 1910 were just as warm as recent temperature.
Have a look:
“Learning from Indigenous knowledge for improved natural resource management in the Barmah-Millewa in a changing and variable climate.” Final Report to VCCCAR
www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=7&ved=2ahUKEwjRnuXIsKPeAhUQ5o8KHXgTB98QFjAGegQIAxAC&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.vcccar.org.au%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fpublications%2FLearning%2520from%2520Indigenous%2520knowledge_%2520Final%2520Report.pdf&usg=AOvVaw1bBpn6SosS9tamqRpotbGY