Yesterday morning I noticed some odd reverse movements in the percentage of votes counted in the six “seats in doubt”. Out of curiosity I saved a screen shot yesterday –
and again this morning.
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Sure enough the percentage of votes counted is reducing. Who knows in another week or two there may be zero votes to count and we may never have had the election. Australia could save money by abolishing the AEC and contract out the running of our elections to Antony Green.
Despite my curmudgeonly view of the AEC, I think the number of votes remaining to be counted has two inputs: those actually counted (and maybe due for re-counting if the contest is close) as against the number harvested on election night, and the number of postal/absentee votes still coming in.
A big whack of those will put the % count backwards.
I know that this is just for my own electorate, Capricornia, now looking likely to be held by Michelle Landry, a bit of a feat really, as prior to the election it was the most marginal, and it looks like she’ll hold on, when safer seats fell.
Link to Capricornia at AEC (vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-20499-157.htm) and you can do this with any electorate using the menu at left there.
Scroll right to the bottom of the page, and as much as I can make out there, looking at the far right bottom number, there looks to be 7,000 plus envelopes still to be processed.
Tony.
Yes, TonyOz, but at the time I wrote that comment the number of absentee votes across the country (and the globe) was not known. Stragglers were still coming in from all over, setting the total % counted back again.
I think Ian is right, but I also think the count did go backwards at least once.
Warwick is showing the ABC’s mirror of the AEC count here: vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseCloseSeats-20499.htm. I noticed at one point over the weekend that numbers had gone backwards, and the time stamp on the page had gone back to Thursday. Refreshing the window did not help.
Here’s another stuffup. This page results.aec.gov.au/17496/website/HouseDivisionFirstPrefs-17496-104.htm says the Libs won Barton (NSW) with a two-party preferred vote of 50.31% in 2013. But this page vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-20499-104.htm says that that score was 45.61%, i.e. that the Libs failed to win the seat in 2013! Yet the summary of seats here vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseSeatSummary-20499.htm clearly shows the seat was won by the Libs in 2013 and has now gone to Labor.
BTW Antony Green has now posted this explanation of the ABC’s counted percentage going backwards: blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/07/change-in-percentage-vote-counted-on-abc-website.html:
“A few eagle-eyed people spotted that the percentage vote counted figure on the ABC website went backwards this morning.
In fact there was no change to the votes counted. The problem was we had originally loaded some outdated enrolment totals.
When the correct numbers were loaded this morning, it resulted in the percentage of the vote counted falling.”