What a disaster of an election Malcolm Turnbull has birthed. Eleven House of Reps seats in doubt. Early Senate counting. Antony Green says too close to call. ABC quotes Turnbull. Pauline Hanson is back winning a Senate seat in Qld and has hopes of a second. I see in NSW One Nation has just over half a quota – preference flows might help there. Andrew Bolt has plenty pertinent to say about Turnbull and the election in general. It is hilarious that the CFMEU’s Victorian Premier Dan Andrews probably cost Bill Shorten the PM’ship by his clumsy handling of the unions vs CFA dispute.
If this AEC site is correct – GreenLabor is practically in. 72 plus Bandt, McGowan, Sharkie(Mayo), Wilkie, = 76 QED visit the GG.
These 7 “not yet determined” by the AEC is a very different list to the 11 seats the ABC has “in doubt”
It is hard to imagine the Libs will not be looking at Tony again.
One thing for sure there will be a dearth of conceited hubris amongst the latte’ Liberals this morning.
I wonder if the wags will drag out the selfie vid by Palmer saying “Bye bye Tony” to get the condescension just right.
Karma is a Bitch!
As you emailed – “Here comes the boats!”
Yes I would expect people smugglers have new spring in their step this morning. Price of dero boats firms in Indo.
I just saw Dennis Jensen got 12% of the vote as an Independent in Tangney – amazing. (he was the previous Liberal member since 2004 denied pre-selection this time around) A climate sceptic who played a part in the initial moves against Tony Abbott.
www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2016/guide/tang/
Looking at the political landscape downunder. Interesting that tiny Tasmania (pop 520K? but has 12 Senators)- the recipient of mucho Commonwealth handouts now has all five MHR seats held by Labor. A smaller and worse version of South Australia which is also a State noted for demanding handouts from the Commonwealth.
I think most but not all of the Libs that lost their seat were part of the conspiracy. Definitely Hendy, Scott and Roy.
The election to long for is a by (bye) election in Wentworth.
Andrew Bolt lets loose on Turnbull. Worth a watch.
youtu.be/Jg8I5tDbpgg
Pretty much my sentiments.
In my comment two above delete Feeney insert Hendy.
FYI: IOD at its lowest value in the short BoM record.
twitter.com/windjunky/status/749824360257499137
Look at that drop!
Thanks handjive – IOD = Indian Ocean Dipole – it was +1 so not odd it should go -1
Links here – www.bom.gov.au/climate/IOD/negative/
boosts hopes for a wet winter across the south of Australia. Fingers crossed for farmers and water supplies.
I got curious about the rise of Senator Xenophon – single person parties are not common federally. An Adelaide lawyer who in 2007 got elected as a Senator for South Australia after serving in the Sth Aust Upper House – Built a political base in Adelaide as an anti-poker machine crusader. I read below where he has opposed wind farms – I was not across that. I had thought SA Greens must see him as a competitor for their natural political space. In 2013 election his support suddenly ballooned – not sure why.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nick_Xenophon
Sth Aust is a State with an underperforming ecomomy addicted to Fed handouts – decades of Fed support to union featherbedded car industry (now shut by Abbott) – union dominated ship-building sucking off defence contracts producing ships near twice the cost we could could buy overseas & prob worse – The Collins Class subs must set international bar for worst subs ever built. SA is a larger vs of Tasmania.
My little matrix summing SA Senate voting shows that Xenophon in the Senate was exactly birthed by a sizeable fraction of the Liberal Party – assume the left. The Labor vote was mostly unaffected by the rise of Xen. The Greens vote did jump in 2010 when Xen was not on ballot – Senators get 6 year terms.
Somebody commented to me today that there may have to be a new Fed election if the parties are split v even. IMHO – no way – if history is any guide there would be a queue of Liberal traitors wanting to jump ship to serve GreenLabor.
Election 2016: Martin Hamilton-Smith scathing of Liberal Jamie Briggs as he backs Nick Xenophon Team
www.abc.net.au/news/2016-07-02/election-2016-martin-hamilton-smith-former-liberal-backs-nxt/7563632?WT.ac=localnews_adelaide
A Note On The Federal Election In Australia
by David Archibald, author of Australia’s Defence (Connor Court) and Twilight of Abundance (Regnery)
wentworthreport.com/a-note-on-the-federal-election-in-australia/
Antony Green blog. What’s Going on with House Seat Numbers 4 Jul 2016
blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/07/whats-going-on-with-house-seat-numbers.html
Antony Green says AEC election count `just not right’ 4 Jul 2016
www.news.com.au/national/federal-election/antony-green-says-aec-election-count-just-not-right/news-story/61647b13c37c5203367baf459a643736
Antony seldom wrong.
Re the IOD
There has already been unusual, for this time of year, rain in the Pilbara in recent weeks. Which is the route moisture from the Timor Sea takes to SE Australia when the IOD is -ve.