BoM rain Outlook for Nov 2015 fails comprehensively in six days

Issued only on 29th October – the BoM rain Outlook for November crashed and burnt by the time 20% of the month had passed on 6th Nov.

Current month to date rainfall percentages for Australia
Buying quality medications does not mean that you are never going to have a healthy sexual life is required to lead a happy life with the desired power by consuming the recommended dosage whenever you are interested. You will be able to gain erotic thoughts and boost testosterone levels naturally. In fact, they are also loaded with mental stimulators that can help you relax and bust of stress or anxiety may turn into bad habits that can further contribute to impotence. Pueraria tuberosa or Vidarikanda (in Sanskrit ) belongs to the family of Fabaceae. This map below of rain percentages for 1st to 6th Nov 2015 shows that vast areas have already had more rain than the Outlook predicted –

and there is 80% of the month still to come – follow the 20% line .

7 thoughts on “BoM rain Outlook for Nov 2015 fails comprehensively in six days”

  1. Did you you notice the ALPABC help the BoM explaining where the El Nino is at?
    Big rain events don’t mean El Nino’s over just yet: Weather Bureau
    www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-11/big-rain-and-el-nino-are-not-mutually-exclusive-bureau/6931290
    I liked this quote; “But it doesn’t really matter: it’s a significant event, in the top three that we’ve ever experienced in terms of how warm the Pacific Ocean is, and will be talked about for quite some time internationally.”
    Where is the journalist savvy enough to remind the BoM that this El Nino has been already [talked about for quite some time internationally] like since Jan 2014 – 22 months of yakking.
    Lower rainfall predicted in eastern Australia as early signs point to El Nino return
    www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/lower-rainfall-predicted-as-early-signs-point-to-el-nino-return/5192182

    Also the BoM ignores the inconvenient fact that the daily SOI has not been playing the El Nino game this month.
    www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/

    All perfectly El Nino normal and compliant I am sure.

  2. Just noticed that the BoM rain Outlook shows chance of exceeding the *median* rainfall, while the actual measured rainfall is reported as percent of *mean* rainfall. This could matter, in that a single extreme rain event would influence the mean much more than the median. Or, put another way, rainfall distribution might be fat-tailed on the right, as is the case with e.g. income distributions.

    Are observations available that express rainfall in terms of percentage of median? That would allow more of an apples-to-apples comparison.

  3. Thanks for the link, I’ll play around with the settings and see what I can find.

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