As the predicted Cat 1 Tropical Cyclone approached the Townsville coast I thought it a fair question. Townsville rain radar. I see the track heads inland where presumably any rain will be mostly welcome.
As the predicted Cat 1 Tropical Cyclone approached the Townsville coast I thought it a fair question. Townsville rain radar. I see the track heads inland where presumably any rain will be mostly welcome.
Coral Sea SSTs almost on the long term average. So the answer to your question is ‘no’.
weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_daily.php?plot=ssa&inv=0&t=cur
Just noticed this long term study
Cyclone record reveals drop in activity – 30 Jan 2014
www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2014/01/30/3934345.htm
Some quotes –
Rain captured in ancient stalagmites shows Australian tropical cyclone activity is at its lowest level for the past 500 to 1500 years.
Prior to this research, the instrumental record for cyclone activity extended back only 50 years, with some doubt cast on the accuracy of recording instruments before 1990.
“We have underestimated where it is safe to live,” he adds, saying many Queensland coastal developments could be in high-risk zones for cyclones.
So much for the argument of increasing tropical storms and the Al Gore ‘eye of the cyclone’ fear. I’ll wait with baited breath to see what the international media do with this drop in cyclone activity.
Maybe insurance premiums in northern Australia will go down! (sarc)
Yesterday the 30 day SOI clicked thru +10 – getting into a zone where you might think about a La Nina event –
www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
BoM says – ENSO-neutral conditions to continue into autumn
reg.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
The highest gust I can find is Hamilton Is (115kmph). Most winds appear below well below 100kmph.
www.bom.gov.au/qld/observations/qldall.shtml?ref=hdr
The CSIRO again, I am still shaking my head at the stupidity: pindanpost.com/2014/02/01/sequestering-scientific-stupidity/