Compare the Outlooks at the archives here –

• select the Temperature Outlook August 28 Warmer spring days more likely for most of the tropics and Tasmania
• and the Rainfall Outlook August 28 Wetter spring more likely for southeast Australia and the Top End
• Then compare with real world temperature anomaly maps – select maximum anomaly – and the correct 3 month period – then minimum anomaly.

The maximum anomaly result (day time) is worse than the minimum (night time).

Both temperature outlooks have the broad shape wrong – you could describe the outlooks contour maps as concave with higher temperatures predicted around the coast – whereas real world results tended to be convex with higher temperatures more central.

For rainfall select deciles – make sure you get the correct 3 month period.

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