Running a check on BoM Outlooks for the two 3 monthly periods –
Jul to Sep and Aug to Oct. Temperature Outlook archive here Rainfall Outlook archive here – All links should open in a new window.
National temperature outlook Jul Sep 2013 max and min temperatures
Jul Sep max T actual anomalies
Jul Sep min T actual anomalies
National temperature outlook Aug Oct 2013 max and min temperatures
Aug Oct max T actual anomalies
Aug Oct min T actual anomalies
The temperature Outlooks tend to be exactly the wrong shape – high around the coastal rim and low in the centre – exactly opposite to the real world anomalies.
Remembering the huge media publicity recently about record heat across Australia in September 2013 – it is inexplicable that the BoM Outlooks did not see the record September heat coming.
Jul Sep rain Outlook
Jul Sep rain actual deciles
Aug Oct rain Outlook
Aug Oct rain actual deciles
I will say it again, BoM seasonal Outlooks are so unreliable and useless the BoM should abandon producing the time-wasters. Put precious taxpayer resources to better use or just save the money.
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