On Tuesday 8 Oct 2013 the Sydney Morning Herald reported – NSW temperatures may hit 40 degrees on Thursday prompting extreme fire warnings – In the article it says – Sydney is forecast to reach 37 degrees – Although the photo at the top of the article carried the misleading caption – Hot in the city: Sydney is likely to swelter on Thursday with temperatures predicted to reach 40 degrees.
Then on 9 Oct 2013 SMH has a headline – Sydney weather forecast revised to 39 degrees – Much mention in the article of high wind speeds including 100k gusts at Huskisson – yet no gust was recorded at Nowra or Point Perpendicular exceeding 70k.
So what actually happened on Thursday the 10th –
Sydney temperatures were 2° below forecast –
Canberra, Goulburn, Wagga Wagga, Albury were all 2° below forecast.
Further west temperatures were closer to forecasts
No wind gust was recorded at Nowra or Point Perpendicular exceeding 70k – what happened to the 100k figure that was concerning fire people?
Overall an inaccurate scaremongering updated forecast on the 9th.
Here is yesterdays effort at the SMH posted early evening – Sydney weather: heat to continue before big drop –
What would be a rational statement about Sydney weather on 10 Oct 2013 – a very hot day in October similar but not quite as hot as some previous October days over a century or more ? And of course all of the BoM and media comment makes no mention that the ever expanding Sydney urban heat island could have had any effect at all yesterday.
There must have been a $Billion or more sunk over a decade into the quest for an economic geothermal electricity project in Australia. The aim has always been for projects on a scale that could contribute to the grid and retire some baseload coal fired generators.
Last month I wrote about pioneer hot rocks driller Geodynamics Ltd GDY – in July I wrote about Seven “green” companies I checked in January 2011 – still poor investments –
Here are share price charts for six ASX listed geothermal energy explorers – most resemble disasters if you had invested a few years ago. Greenearth Energy Limited GER Green Rock Energy GRK Geodynamics Ltd GDY Hot Rock Limited HRL The right dosage amount depends upon a number of factors including the intensity of youth when it comes viagra in italy to your sex life. But seniors and people suffering from diabetes, hypertension and so on and buying sildenafil online have zero harmful side effects. None of the ED pills admitted safe to gulp with any cardiac pills such as nitrates since it would lead for adverse results of recovery. Serial killers, you’d be hard-pressed to spot them levitra without prescription in a crowd. Petratherm Ltd PTR Raya Group Ltd RYG
Australian Geothermal Energy Association – as they say – driving the development of the Australian geothermal energy industry. Link from comment 9 previous article.
Can readers point me to notable progress in the sector.
We must remember that the sector took of last decade mainly because of the IPCC AGW scare driver a perceived need for “green energy” sources. Without that I doubt if many of these companies would exist – or of multi-$millions of Govt grants would have been wasted and still are being wasted.
I just about choked on my morning drinking choc on seeing this headline by Tristan Edis from the Business Spectator KGB – in my email inbox on Friday 4 Oct 2013. Full article.
Is there a parallel universe out in media-land? The renewables “industry” has had multi-$Billions thrown at it – for what result – higher electricity prices and a less stable national grid.
I have to think back to the Whitlam era and Minister for Minerals and Energy, Rex Connor to come even close to the 2008-2013 period of bad relations between miners and Govt.
At times I post on Resources issues.
We have all seen or heard on the media that “sweaty September” has been our warmest month ever – see “Australia in September 2013” from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)
I wrote to William Kininmonth ex BoM Senior Meteorologist(link to bio notes) – and asked if variations in the jet stream were affecting Australian climate.
He replied drawing my attention to this BoM map of September wind anomalies.
BOM archives monthly mean and anomaly charts at 850, 500 and 200hP.
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drawn in over south west Australia. In general terms the wind anomalies
bringing in warm/cool air coincided with the regions of warm/cool
temperature anomaly respectively. It would seem that the driver for the
temperature anomaly was the blocking situation, not global warming.
Mr Kininmonth has said he will answer questions here – and I wanted to add that his bio notes above came from the recent book he co-authored – Taxing Air
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The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) carries on with the seemingly impossible task of every month predicting the odds of exceeding median temperatures, both day and night, plus the odds of exceeding median rainfall for the next three months. Results for the temperature Outlooks July to September have been as bad as I can recall. Actual temperatures turned out often to be the reverse of what was forecast.
It is high time the Federal Govt told the BoM to cease this waste of taxpayers money publishing the Outlooks, wasting taxpayers money for over a decade. Set the staff involved to more productive work for Australia or fire them – simple.
Prediction of the odds of exceeding median maximum (day-time) temperatures –
Actual weather result in anomalies – hot where it should have been cool centrally and nearer average around the coast and Tasmania where it should have been very hot.
Prediction of the odds of exceeding median minimum (night-time) temperatures –
Actual weather result in anomalies – hot where it should have been cool or average centrally and nearer average around the coast, even cool anomalies in the north, then Tasmania where it was above average but should have been hotter.
Temperature Outlooks here – make maps of recent actual temperatures here
You can check rainfall Outlook and actual rainfall for yourself.
Primarily exposing faulty methodologies behind global temperature trend compilations
