A few days ago I posted – BBC exaggerated warming trend in David Attenborough’s TV show “Africa”. Well here is an explanation for the scary warming rates quoted by TV host David Attenborough. Satellites detect no significant warming over the gridbox covering the Kenyan localities mentioned in the Guardian story.
While CRUT4 surface data agrees pretty well with satellites up to about 1998 – after that the surface departs erratically much warmer, improving somewhat in 2012. I would bet the sheep station that the surface data will be at fault here, probably micro-site effects – note the increased data gaps too. Remember these anomalies are from the entire grid-box area – there will be individual stations better and worse.
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Note data from KNMI Climate Explorer thanks.
Ed note 19 Feb – the original graphic was mistakenly made with data from a 5 x 10° grid box 5S to Equator and 30-40E. Should have been 35-40E. As the graphic is now. The CRUT4 data looked identical for the two grid areas but satellite numbers changed slightly as you would expect.
Category Archives: Surface Record
Weatherzone’s Dr Dutschke predictions of 40° in Sydney, Adelaide and Melbourne during mid- to late-February – how is that working out Dr Dutschke ?
A week ago I posted – February not turning out stellar hot so far – Weatherzone prediction fall flat on face so far – 6.8° out for Sydney
The SMH article of 4 Feb 2013 “Cool spell soon to be broken” – has the following quotes from Dr Dutschke of Weatherzone (a Joint Venture between the BoM and Fairfax).
[Beyond this week, more heat can be expected with weather models point to a hotter spell by mid- to late-February, Weatherzone’s Dr Dutschke said.
Sydney, Adelaide and Melbourne could all see temperatures of 40 degrees from that second heatwave, he said.]
BoM forecasts out to 23 Feb – no heatwaves being forecast yet – but hey it is summer.
Still waiting to see any sign of your prediction coming to pass Dr Dutschke.
Another classic use of basic temperature data to define UHI – this time the Phoenix AZ urban heat island
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Over a decade ago I posted this page – Phoenix AZ five degree grid cell –
Had a quick look at it, graphics need improving but stands the test of time I think – an example of one of the great rorts in science.
BBC exaggerated warming trend in David Attenborough’s TV show “Africa”
This story has been running the rounds. “BBC exaggerated climate change in David Attenborough’s Africa”. Donna Laframboise has just dug deeper into the scam and shreds the BBC’s shoddy work further in – “The Workshop Presentation that Never Was”
Thought it worth restating that I have pointed out in Aug 2006 “Satellites vs surface, amazing agreement over the USA” then revisited the theme again
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Why is it that unpaid sceptics all over the world have to correct the work of highly paid IPCC warmists ?
February not turning out stellar hot so far – Weatherzone prediction falls flat on face so far – 6.8° out for Sydney
A week ago there was this article in that paragon of reliable information – The Sydney Morning Herald – Cool spell soon to be broken – phew now we can not enjoy a few cooler days without the Fairfax owned Weatherzone big-noting their colossal forecasting skills. – The 4 Feb SMH article says – “Saturday may see Sydney’s “best chance” of temperatures above 35 degrees, with more scorching weather set for western suburbs and inland towns…”.
Well Saturday reached 28.2 in Sydney not 35.
I am curious what readers are noticing in their areas – apart from Perth is there any unusual heat around ?
My point in this is that it is summer – some heat is to be expected – we know there may be hot spells in February – we can check the BoM standard forecasts.
They tell us this for the next week – a tough week ahead for the “heatwave spruikers”.
BoM made a mistake in announcing hottest January day for Mackay
You could not invent this. See my post from yesterday – now as Chris Gillham has pointed out – the BoM mistakenly entered 36.9° as 39.6° – and nobody had the nous to question this for a week. The Weatherzone announcement – Mackay sets January heat record –
was dated 5 Feb as was the ABC’s. So the media announcing this triumph of warming was a week after the instruments at Mackay Aero recorded 36.9 which somehow ended up as 39.6 in BoM data for a week. The 36.9 is still a record for Mackay Aero which has a short record, previous high was 35.8 on 7 Jan 2006 – but Mackay M.O. See more articles like How to Keep Men Away From Prostatitis? For more information, please visit 99eyao website: Sildenafil citrate tablets have gained immense praise and recognition for serving as an effective treatment tadalafil generic india for erectile dysfunction in men. What online viagra in australia is relevant to those who are happily married and consciously focus on ways to become better spouses throughout their relationship. Cystoscopy can directly observe bladder condition, type of prostatic hypertrophy and other complications (such as calculus and diverticulum), but it is not a disease in itself, but it is related with the virus and bacteria but djpaulkom.tv levitra generika this is not achieved simply by pumping more blood to the penis. Generic drugs are djpaulkom.tv/dj-paul-hangover-how-to-cook-roasted-potatoes/ viagra 50mg frequently as effective as, but much cheaper than the brand medicine. recorded 37.2 on 1st Jan 1985. To be correct the media stories should have said – “Mackay Airport sets January heat record” – and then the article could have stated that Mackay M.O. recorded 37.2 on 1st Jan 1985 when apparently there was no Airport data that we know of.
I wonder what will happen now – will the BoM or either media group be interested in publishing a correction ?
BoM blatant cherry picking and ignoring urban warming effects to claim hottest January day for Mackay Queensland
A reader sent in this news item – Mackay sets January heat record – quoting the Bureau of Meteorology saying “Mackay has set a new record for its hottest January maximum temperature. The weather bureau’s Jeff Sabburg says the mercury hit 39.6 degrees on January 28.”
To understand how dodgy this claim is – there are two BoM recording stations current at Mackay.
Mackay M.O. station 033119 (MO = Met. Office) with data from 1960 and the other is Mackay Aero station 033045 at the airport with a decade of data in the 1950’s then a 30 odd years gap to 1996.
The hottest Jan day claim for the 28th was fom Mackay Aero – there was no hot Jan day record at Mackay M.O. the BoM purpose built official meteorological station for Mackay which had longer continous data than Mackay Aero.
To read more Continue reading BoM blatant cherry picking and ignoring urban warming effects to claim hottest January day for Mackay Queensland
2013 fails to beat 1932 for hottest January days in Australian history
See comment 5 for update 2 Feb.
Classic bait and switch publicity today by the BoM to cover up a monster FAIL. – Giant heatwave delivers hottest January on record – Readers must understand that after months of talking 95% about maximum DAYTIME temperatures to beat-up their heatwave propaganda, the BoM is today talking “…the average of maximum and minimum temperatures for the month was 29.7 degrees.” A very different metric to the daily max temperatures the BoM has been beating up for months – the BoM is totally opportunistic when it comes to feeding the media heatwave propaganda – shifting goalposts is easy for them.
Here is a BoM chart showing the 1932 January max anomaly record that has NOT been broken this month.
Speculation that parts of New Zealand could hit 40°C in next few days
The NZ Herald quotes long time climate expert Dr Jim Salinger in their article today – Heatwave: Scientist tips a scorcher – Another bio for Dr Jim Salinger.
Further down the article NZ MetService and WeatherWatch people say that 40 degrees looks unlikely. I hope some Kiwis can send in temperatures from – “…east of the South Island and southern North Island…”. Here is a site where you can type in a NZ locality and get weather data.
Is this a case of Fairfax media believing some of the over-hyped rubbish about heatwaves in Australia and thinking that it had to be the turn of NZ sometime.
Amazing error ridden graphic in The Australian – our national newspaper
I have already posted on this article – Records topple, city stumbles as gauge hits 46C – in The Australian Saturday 19 Jan 2013 – I focussed then on Sydney and the near less urban stations. However The Australian gives a clear impression in their opening text that heat records were broken across NSW on the 18th Jan 2013.
[SYDNEY’S city centre was hotter than Bourke in the northwest of the state yesterday as decades-old heat records tumbled across NSW, stung by a stubborn mass of heated air moving from the centre of the country. The city recorded its hottest day since records were kept as the temperature hit 46C.]
What deceptive nonsense – the impression created by the words “…decades-old heat records tumbled across NSW…”, is that 18 Jan 2013 was also a record hot day at country centres. This is not borne out by the facts.
Lets us take this graphic from The Australian 18 Jan 2013. I have left the copy on the left untouched and on the right have added in black under “18 Jan corr” the correct maximum for the 18th Jan 2013. Then in red I have added the max on 11 Jan 1939 if available – stations below Ivanhoe were discussed in my previous article.
Starting with Bourke which was hotter on the 12 & 13th Jan (48.3 & 48) – obviously no record there on the 18th – and 11 Jan 1939 was 117F or 47.2 – it was 48.3 on 10 Jan 1939.
Griffith was hotter on the 5th & 6th Jan (44.7 & 44.3) obviously no record there on the 18th – and 11 Jan 1939 was 116F or 46.6.
Wagga Wagga was 44.1 on the 18th Jan but felt 117F or 47.2 on 11 Jan 1939.
Ivanhoe recorded 44.9 on the 18th but had hotter days on 5th, 6th & 7th Jan (46.7, 46.4, 45.3) obviously no record there on the 18th – and 11 Jan 1939 was 120F or 48.9.
How does The Australian come to publish the clanger errors for 18 Jan 2013 ? Knowing that January 1939 was hot in Sydney – why not do the stand-out obvious thing and run some checks on NSW sites for Jan 1939 ?
Note to see the full article through The Australian paywall – search the exact headline in Google.