These 12 month average trends show a strong cyclic influence on Australian temperatures. GISS, GHCN CAMS and NCDC land data are now updated at KNMI.

GISS supports the BoM which finds the 12 month average mean temperature over Australia has been warmer than ever over recent months.
NCDC finds that periods in 2005 and 2010 had a warmer 12 month average.
GHCN CAMS find warmer 12 month periods in 2005.
The two satellite series have warmer periods in the past than late 2013.
At the end of 2013 the BoM trend is under GISS.

The ABC reports – ACT under total fire ban as mercury soars – quoting Sean Carson from the Bureau of Meteorology who says – “By the time we reach Saturday we might have seen four days in a row in the ACT greater than 40 degrees, something we’ve never seen before in Canberra’s history,”

Bad luck Sean the 4 days 15th to 18th went – 40.2, 40.1, 39.7, 40.
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So we see an example in the ABC News Watch analysis where warmists conveniently do not know our history.

Checking the Bureau of Meteorology claim against data from various global climate research groups available at KNMI Climate Explorer shows that not all support the BoM claim.

CRUT4, GISS and NCDC are not yet available through December but will check as they become available to end 2013. The BoM might have some support there.

• GHCN CAMS finds that 2005 was a hotter year than 2013.
• RSS satellites finds that 2005, 1998 and 1980 were hotter years than 2013.
• UAH satellites finds that 2009 was a hotter year.

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Note my December 2013 post highlighting the warming drift 2005-2006 in UAH compared to RSS. In the chart it is plain that UAH is badly out of step at 2006.

I also posted –

• Similar to Australia in 2005-06 – large grid box in southern Africa shows huge warming departure in UAH lower troposphere satellite temperature anomalies compared to RSS – and –
• Difference between UAH and RSS satellite lower troposphere T anomalies has a distinct step change 2004-2005 over the USA 48 States – not as marked as Australia

Typical headline beating up what is normal hot weather.

Reality not so glam. for the warmists.
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For over a week now I have been puzzled by TV weather ladies talking about 50° here and there at places back of the black stump. Has anybody seen a 50° clock in anywhere yet. I suppose it must happen sometime – after all the BoM adjusted their map scales to go over 50.

We have all seen and heard the media blitz on the subject – 2013 was hottest year on record in Australia, Bureau of Meteorology says –
Most of us have little idea of the extent to which the BoM ACORN SAT temperature series has older data adjusted cooler to increase the warming trend.
This chart shows the monthly mean temperature ACORN SAT data that the BoM rely upon for their statements and shows the strongly cyclic nature of the 12 month average.

RSS satellites measure brightness temperature anomalies in the lower troposphere (TLT) – that thin skin of air centred on about 2 to 3km high. It is interesting that the rankings of the anomalies for the hottest months over Australia from the BoM go, Sep 2013 2.75 – Apr 2005 2.66 – Aug 2009 2.47.
However when you make global temperature anomaly maps for the RSS satellites lower troposhere series and eyeball the maps – the ranking looks to be – Aug 2009 hottest – Apr 2005 2nd hottest and Sep 2013 3rd hottest.
Aug 2009

Apr 2005

Sep 2013

RSS do not publish an Australian anomaly time series.
I put these maps up to show that all might not be as cut and dried as the BoM would have you believe.

They are launching a new Melbourne weather observation site at Olympic Park – surrounded on two sides by tarmac car parks. And of course a freeway just out of view behind the photographer.

I enjoyed how the BoM manages to write 309 words on the subject yets avoids the term “urban heat island”. IMHO it is quite possible that the new site could warm due to increasing urban effects at a faster rate than the old.

It looks clear there will be no Christmas heat wave of any significance this Christmas. Here is the BoM prediction – Heatwave expected to hit one-third of Australia over Christmas – If you check forecasts for your region of SE Australia you can see what an utter dud the BoM is.

I am calling for reports on how this is going – buckled railway lines – whatever. Can people please call in temperatures in their regions, thanks. You can check maximum temperature anomalies for past days or weeks etc here.
[The BOM’s assistant director of weather services, Alasdair Hainsworth, says the heatwave could last for about a week.
“Unfortunately it is going to be be a fairly protracted period of hot weather,” he said.
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Mr Hainsworth warns that Christmas travel plans may be disrupted.]

I am offering a prize for the first report of buckled railway line up to and including Friday 27 Dec – the BoM Memorial Sixpack of Aldi White Wine – winner can choose any variety up to $5 per bottle, you can collect at your nearest ALDI.