Comments starting with Qld (grid “strongman” now) and during an eastern wind drought. Generation by Nemwatch – Price and Demand from AEMO. For bigger Nemwatch chart
QLD demand 6,042MW with generation 6,959MW running a modest surplus in view all grids need some spinning reserve.
NSW demand 8,306MW with generation 7,686MW running a surprising deficit. Must be maxing imports from Qld.
Vic demand 5,373MW with generation 5,328MW small deficit should have spinning reserve. I have never seen Vic in deficit in a year or more watching.
SA demand 1,525MW with generation 1,323MW running a deficit – must be importing from Vic.
Tas demand 1,277MW with generation 1,902MW running a big surplus – Basslink must be humming at near max 600MW feeding power to SA, NSW and Vic.
For months Vic has been the lynchpin State exporting as required to NSW, SA and Tas. Verily our politicians have wrought harm to our electricity system.
Latest AEMO “wholesale price” chart up to Hazelwood closing. Larger version.
Added 3 Apr – This is an interesting AEMO page too – gives a graphical presentation of flows between States. I have not worked out what the red and pale blue signify – on the labels with arrows showing flow between States.
Category Archives: Resources
Is allowing Hazelwood to close the most stupid act of any Australian Govt?
Sorry for inattention to blog – I have had a mad week – was pondering the Hazelwood thing – Tony Abbott chips in – Chris Uhlmann – reams are yet to be published. But I could not think of a clearly more stupid act by an Australian Govt. in all our history.
South Australia turns back to fossil fuel
Faced with the need to strengthen their electricity grid the South Australian Labor Government proposes to build and own a $360million 250MW gas turbine generator. When disaster strikes – who do you call? The ABC quotes Premier Weatherill making conflicting statements in his confusion.
Quote 1 – “We will supply the nation — coal-rich states like Queensland and New South Wales will be relying upon the clean, green power that we are developing here in SA.”
Quote 2 – “….making sure that SA power is reserved for South Australians,” he said.”
Australia fails again as NT to Qld gas pipeline stymied
Land dispute sends Jemena Northern Gas Pipeline back to negotiating table says ABC on 7 March 17 – we know without reading what sort of “land dispute”.
In 2014 I wrote –
Commonwealth Govt thinking about solving looming Sydney gas shortage with ~2,000 kms of pipeline connecting to North West Shelf
Then in 2015 –
NT Govt planning a gas pipeline to Eastern States by 2019
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Keep Hazelwood open
Hazelwood 1,600MW of electricity generation is due to close at end of March. This must further stress our already strained power supplies and rack up prices further. People concerned that this would weaken our electricity grid should email politicians asking that Hazelwood be kept open. I will be emailing the PM, Treasurer and several other members of the Commonwealth Parliament. For information email to –
Keep.Hazelwood.Open (the you know what symbol) engineer.com
Terry McCrann had a good article – Keep Hazelwood power station open through takeover
NSW is usually an importer of electricity – interesting that generation for our largest State is propped up by imports from both Qld and Victoria. NSW is an Importer of Electricity – my series of Nemwatch charts annotated with simultaneous demand & price data from AEMO. There will be more data to present on the subject.
The upshot is – Victoria is the Lynchpin State of our grid in terms of electricity generation. Another reason to “Keep Hazelwood open”
Tony Abbott draws line freezing MRET scheme
Policy bombshell for PM Turnbull. Read what Tony says – “Ending any further mandatory increase in the use of renewables”
Guide to ~100 press articles about Eddie Obeid
The comprehensive book “He who must be Obeid” by Kate McClymont and Linton Besser details over 20 years of Labor corruption in NSW and has ~20 pages of Chapter notes (Endnotes) with many dozens of references to press articles (including exact headlines which are easily searched with Google). Amazon has a Kindle Edition.
I have scanned the 20 odd pages which are linked below if you click on “Continue reading”.
Over weeks & months I intend to post links online to all the press articles from the book that I can find using Google. For a start here are links to scans of the Endnotes. Continue reading Guide to ~100 press articles about Eddie Obeid
Four States monthly average electricity wholesale prices to end 2016
Main points are
[1] Victoria has diverged from the others over the last quarter. What could be driving Vic prices down towards levels of 2014-15?
[2] The other States prices are still way above levels of 2015.
AEMO Price & Demand — Generation at NemWatch
Australian Government financial disasters
I will add to this list and links as ideas come in. We may be the lucky country but surely stupidity will extract a price one day. All these issues would make articles in their own right.
[1] AUSSAT $700mill losses & debts rolled over into Pay TV 1990’s,
[2] $6Bn Collins Class Submarines 1990’s – duds we are still stuck with,
[3] Electricity privatisations started in 1990’s – looking at our ballooning power prices would we have been better off keeping the old State Electricity Commissions? Despite the feather-bedded unions.
[4] MRET scheme making 3 worse and harming our electricity grid into the bargain – ongoing multi $Bn’s as taxpayers fund wind & solar that can never power our 24/7 grid,
[5] Defence purchases eg MRH-90 helicopters $4.2Bn,
[6] Frequently delayed and poorly performing F-35 fighters $24Bn alone,
[7] Eastern States Desalination plants ~$20Bn,
[8] Rudd Labor watering down border laws $11.6 billion over five years,
[9] Decades of anti-damism – after not building the Franklin Dam in the 80’s,
[10] Antifracking hysteria affecting gas exploration policy in face of rising prices,
[11] Building the Education Revolution $16.2Bn – More money for Education = worse results,
[12] Adelaide Hospital third most expensive building in the world $2.1Bn,
[13] Inability to control rogue unions like CFMEU which affects 12 and all other construction est +$10Bn,
[14] NBN a future $100Bn mediocre performer?
[15] Buying 12 French submarines before even a prototype is built future $50Bn,
[16] The GST carve up which rewards the basket case States SA & Tas.
[17] Various States and GreenLabor anti-nuclear policies.
[18] Climate change policies – have a effect in 4, 7, 10, multi-$Bn’s.
[19] Just been told about this from Toytown 17 Jan 2017. Amazing construction stuffup with Sydney Metro NorthWest rail bridge.
“Investigation reveals ‘disappointing’ failures in Skytrain construction”
Please send in useful links and analysis. I must have been half asleep to leave the Rudd MkI Pink Batts and School Halls stimulus projects off the list. Also forgot to add GreenLabor’s Murray Darling Basin Plan to waste more dam water to the ocean.
AEMO puzzling generation and demand numbers for Victoria
Snapshot of demand and generation in five States.
Victoria is the big puzzle – where is all that generation going? 